Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-1
Fluminense vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
FLU
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
COT
2 - 0
FLU
17%
25%
59%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
44%
24%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
FLU
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 3
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
ARG
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
ARG
45%
29%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |