Fluminense PI vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 2
FPI
14%
18%
69%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
2 - 5
CEA
10%
22%
68%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 2
CAM
36%
24%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
FPI
69%
17%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
3 - 0
CAC
52%
23%
26%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
PPE
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
PPE
1 - 1
PRI
82%
14%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 1
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 2
PPE
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PPE
2 - 1
OES
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |