Fluminense PI vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 1
RIV
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 3
FPI
7%
12%
81%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
FPI
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 4
PPE
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
BAH
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 4
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
BAH
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |