Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
GAM
2 - 1
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAY
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
COT
2 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 1
GOI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
COT
2 - 0
FLU
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 0
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
3 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |