Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 1-1
Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
IVT
1 - 0
FLA
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
FLA
5%
15%
81%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLA
9%
17%
74%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 4
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 1
MUS
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
IVT
1 - 0
FLA
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 0
AUC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
OCT
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 1
MUS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |