Flamengo vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
BON
0 - 2
FLA
9%
19%
72%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
NOV
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RES
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
65%
19%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
SBW
0 - 0
BOL
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 3
RPO
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |