Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 4-2
Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAO
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 2
FLA
22%
23%
54%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 1
JUN
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 5
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATP
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 2
GRE
34%
28%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
ATP
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
ATP
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |