Flamengo Arcoverde vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
55.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FEC
0 - 3
SPO
6%
18%
76%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
FEC
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
FEC
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FEC
2 - 3
CEN
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
FEC
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AFO
0 - 1
RFC
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
AFO
89%
8%
2%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
AFO
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AFO
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
AFO
0 - 1
NAU
8%
15%
78%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |