FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
9º
9º
21
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 55 |
4º
|
98% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
LIE
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
VAL
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
FKT
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |