Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
9º
5º
46
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 77 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 66 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 59 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 47 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 45 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 42 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 38 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 37 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 87% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
SUD
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 3
FAS
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
FAS
10%
17%
73%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
HLI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 0
ZAL
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAN
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |