Gabala FK vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
10º
10º
83
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
FKQ
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 0
ZIR
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
SUM
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
41%
26%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 0
MFK
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 0
SFK
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 1
QAR
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
OLI
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FCK
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |