FK Mārupe vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
6º
50
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 38% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FSL
4 - 2
MAR
13%
16%
71%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALB
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
FKB
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
SMI
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIG
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 4
SMI
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |