FK Liepāja vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
10º
7º
29
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
LIE
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 3
AUD
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
FSM
56%
22%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |