FS Jelgava vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
10º
10º
75
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
97% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 4
RIG
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |