FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
10º
10º
16
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 78 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 73 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 71 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 56 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 47 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 41 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 37 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 26 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
63.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 3
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FKJ
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 4
RIG
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
FSM
56%
22%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 0
GRO
44%
23%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |