Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
14º
7º
28
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 53 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 0
FKA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
FKS
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
DIN
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SLA
3 - 0
FKA
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
SLA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 3
BAT
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
ISL
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAT
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
DNP
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |