La Fiorita vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
FIO
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 1
DOM
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
FIO
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 3
FIO
10%
20%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAE
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
11%
21%
68%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |