Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 0
FIO
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 4
LAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 2
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NAP
4 - 2
UDI
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 1
CHI
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 1
NAP
11%
19%
70%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |