Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
51%
27%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
TOR
1 - 0
FIO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 4
ACM
44%
25%
30%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |