Conference League Last 16
Global 5-4
Fiorentina vs Maccabi Haifa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
FIO
35%
27%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
LAZ
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EMP
1 - 1
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Haifa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MBR
2 - 1
MAC
21%
24%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
HEH
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HPF
0 - 2
MAC
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASH
0 - 5
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |