Conference League Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Fiorentina vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 4
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPE
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
USC
0 - 2
FIO
21%
24%
56%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 2
LPO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
LPO
1 - 4
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 0
WAR
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 2
POG
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WLO
1 - 2
LPO
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |