Fiorentina vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
57%
22%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 0
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 4
FIO
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
INT
1 - 4
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 2
RCH
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
5 - 2
LPO
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
LPO
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 1
GÓR
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 0
RCH
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |