Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
ESB
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 2
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ESB
1 - 3
FIO
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
INT
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
LUD
3 - 3
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SAS
62%
22%
15%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LUD
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |