Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1966 |
FIO
2 - 1
FCC
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 2
FIO
30%
26%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
FIO
4 - 0
VAR
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
NAP
0 - 4
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1966 |
INT
4 - 1
LAZ
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SAM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
NAP
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |