Fiorentina vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 4
LAZ
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
VER
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
IST
3 - 0
FIO
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 4
GLA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MHE
0 - 3
HOM
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
RIG
0 - 2
HOM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |