Fiorentina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
DYN
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
DYN
1 - 1
FIO
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 3
JUV
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 3
NAP
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 3
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
EMP
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |