Fiorentina vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
18%
27%
55%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 3
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
REG
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |