Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
FIO
34%
26%
40%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
67%
20%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
VER
78%
15%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
FTC
1 - 1
FIO
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
UDI
3 - 0
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 0
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
INT
1 - 2
BOL
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
ROM
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |