Fiorentina Sub 19 vs Ascoli Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
ROM
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FIO
3 - 1
CES
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 3
FIO
52%
22%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
INT
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 2
CCS
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
REG
0 - 1
ASC
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 2
SAL
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USV
3 - 4
ASC
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TER
4 - 2
ASC
9%
16%
75%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -2 |