Figueirense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HER
4 - 1
FFL
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
CAM
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
FFL
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
FFL
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FFL
0 - 0
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
JEC
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
ECP
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVA
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |