Figueirense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CRI
4 - 1
FFL
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OPE
4 - 0
FFL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FFL
0 - 0
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
FFL
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ECS
3 - 3
FFL
53%
26%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 3
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
JEC
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
JEC
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 1
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |