Figueirense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
FFL
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
0 - 2
FFL
9%
16%
75%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FFL
0 - 2
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
ECS
0 - 0
CHA
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 2
CHA
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
15%
22%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
BRU
74%
19%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |