Ferroviário vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 0
FER
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
APA
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 2
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
FLO
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 1
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAY
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 2
VIT
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
FFL
46%
29%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
VIT
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOT
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |