Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 4-1
Ferroviário vs Princesa Solimões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
FER
11%
23%
66%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 2
FER
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
COR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TOC
1 - 1
FER
20%
26%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 1
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
FER
11%
23%
66%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 0
AGU
23%
27%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 3
PRI
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |