Ferroviário vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
FER
54%
22%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 2
ICA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
CEA
14%
22%
64%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |