Ferroviário vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
CAX
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
CON
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
3 - 2
JAC
26%
28%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
65%
21%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |