Ferroviária vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
BRA
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
INT
0 - 3
SAO
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |