Ferroviária vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 1
FER
41%
30%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
REA
61%
23%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FER
8 - 0
URT
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
BAH
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
URT
0 - 1
POA
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
INT
3 - 0
POA
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
REA
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |