Fernandópolis vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEB
2 - 1
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AEA
2 - 0
FER
19%
19%
63%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
4 - 1
FER
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
RIO
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GDS
3 - 1
FER
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUP
3 - 1
TAN
44%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 2
TUP
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 2
AEA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 2
TUP
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 4
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -2 |