Ferencvárosi vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
4º
1º
37
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 0
FTC
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DIO
2 - 0
FTC
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FTC
5 - 1
DVS
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 2
FTC
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
NYI
1 - 2
FTC
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
UJP
0 - 3
KTE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UJP
7 - 0
DIO
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DVS
1 - 0
UJP
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 2
MTK
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 1
UJP
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |