Conference League Last 16
Global 3-1
Fenerbahçe vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FEN
4 - 1
PEN
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 3
FEN
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 2
FEN
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ANK
3 - 0
FEN
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
KAS
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 3
FEN
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEU
0 - 2
UNI
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
BRU
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
SDL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |