Fenerbahçe vs Karabükspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 0
GAL
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 3
FEN
63%
20%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
2 - 1
OLP
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
BJK
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 2
SEV
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Karabükspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
KAR
64%
21%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
KAR
1 - 0
ASS
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
RBK
1 - 1
KAR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
KAR
0 - 0
RBK
30%
25%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
KAR
1 - 0
SIV
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |