Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 6-1
Fenerbahçe vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
4 - 2
ADA
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 2
FEN
32%
25%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
KAS
0 - 6
FEN
28%
23%
48%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
FEN
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 3
UMR
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 2
AUS
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 2
FEN
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 1
WAT
53%
22%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 2
AUS
20%
23%
56%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 1
LAS
46%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |