Feirense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
FEI
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
FEI
2 - 1
TON
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
FEI
59%
26%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FEI
0 - 3
MOR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
FEI
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |