Utrecht vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
18º
7º
84
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 0
UTR
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UTR
0 - 2
SCH
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UTR
3 - 0
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 2
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FEY
6 - 1
ALM
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
FEY
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FEY
0 - 0
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FEY
2 - 1
SLB
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |