Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FEY
5 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 4
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 0
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
WIL
35%
25%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |