Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 6-2
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
PSE
0 - 1
SHA
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
SHA
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 3
SHA
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SHA
2 - 0
SPB
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SHA
4 - 0
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
ROM
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
ROM
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
SHA
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |