Europa League 1/16
Global 3-5
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
ARK
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 1
SHA
26%
23%
52%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
VEL
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
HRA
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |