Porto vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
MON
0 - 3
FCP
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 1
PAÇ
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
DEP
0 - 1
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
VCF
1 - 3
ZAR
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
VCF
0 - 1
ALB
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
VCF
27%
28%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |