Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
2º
5º
3º
68
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
EST
0 - 4
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 1
LEX
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 2
SPB
46%
23%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
SPB
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 3
SPB
9%
15%
76%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
41%
24%
34%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |